WTXS51 PGTW 070300 WARNING ATCG MIL 04S SIO 170207015846 2017020700 04S CARLOS 006 01 235 08 SATL 030 T000 190S 0563E 045 R034 085 NE QD 090 SE QD 075 SW QD 075 NW QD T012 200S 0552E 045 R034 075 NE QD 120 SE QD 095 SW QD 050 NW QD T024 211S 0541E 050 R050 025 NE QD 060 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 095 NE QD 125 SE QD 085 SW QD 055 NW QD T036 224S 0534E 060 R050 045 NE QD 055 SE QD 030 SW QD 005 NW QD R034 115 NE QD 115 SE QD 075 SW QD 060 NW QD T048 235S 0534E 070 R064 015 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 055 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 125 NE QD 115 SE QD 075 SW QD 070 NW QD T072 251S 0552E 065 R064 020 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 055 SE QD 035 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 165 NE QD 155 SE QD 100 SW QD 095 NW QD T096 267S 0580E 055 R050 060 NE QD 065 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 180 SE QD 145 SW QD 120 NW QD T120 278S 0588E 050 R050 095 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW QD 100 NW QD R034 165 NE QD 195 SE QD 175 SW QD 185 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (CARLOS) WARNING NR 006 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (CARLOS) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 070000Z --- NEAR 19.0S 56.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 19.0S 56.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z --- 20.0S 55.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z --- 21.1S 54.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z --- 22.4S 53.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 005 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z --- 23.5S 53.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z --- 25.1S 55.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z --- 26.7S 58.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z --- 27.8S 58.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 195 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 185 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 070300Z POSITION NEAR 19.3S 56.0E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (CARLOS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 87 NM NORTHWEST OF PORT LOUIS, MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071500Z AND 080300Z.// 0417020218 137S 561E 25 0417020300 135S 556E 25 0417020306 137S 553E 25 0417020312 141S 555E 30 0417020318 147S 563E 30 0417020400 153S 568E 30 0417020406 159S 568E 30 0417020412 167S 565E 35 0417020418 171S 565E 35 0417020500 173S 566E 35 0417020506 174S 568E 35 0417020512 175S 570E 45 0417020518 176S 574E 55 0417020518 176S 574E 55 0417020600 177S 576E 55 0417020600 177S 576E 55 0417020606 178S 575E 55 0417020606 178S 575E 55 0417020612 181S 572E 55 0417020612 181S 572E 55 0417020618 185S 570E 50 0417020618 185S 570E 50 0417020700 190S 563E 45