WTXS51 PGTW 041500 WARNING ATCG MIL 04S SIO 170204132651 2017020412 04S FOUR 001 01 200 09 SATL 020 T000 167S 0565E 035 R034 025 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 025 NW QD T012 177S 0566E 040 R034 045 NE QD 055 SE QD 025 SW QD 040 NW QD T024 180S 0570E 045 R034 050 NE QD 080 SE QD 035 SW QD 060 NW QD T036 183S 0573E 050 R050 000 NE QD 000 SE QD 015 SW QD 015 NW QD R034 065 NE QD 100 SE QD 055 SW QD 050 NW QD T048 191S 0571E 050 R050 000 NE QD 000 SE QD 015 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 085 NE QD 120 SE QD 100 SW QD 040 NW QD T072 213S 0547E 055 R050 010 NE QD 025 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 085 NE QD 155 SE QD 125 SW QD 040 NW QD T096 230S 0507E 060 R050 035 NE QD 040 SE QD 025 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 135 SE QD 095 SW QD 050 NW QD T120 243S 0495E 065 R064 035 NE QD 040 SE QD 035 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 055 SE QD 045 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 105 NE QD 160 SE QD 120 SW QD 070 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (FOUR) WARNING NR 001 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (FOUR) WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 041200Z --- NEAR 16.7S 56.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 200 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.7S 56.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z --- 17.7S 56.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z --- 18.0S 57.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z --- 18.3S 57.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z --- 19.1S 57.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z --- 21.3S 54.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 10 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z --- 23.0S 50.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z --- 24.3S 49.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 041500Z POSITION NEAR 17.0S 56.5E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (FOUR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 209 NM NORTH- NORTHWEST OF PORT LOUIS, MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED SOUTH- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050300Z AND 051500Z.// 0417020218 137S 561E 25 0417020300 135S 556E 25 0417020306 137S 553E 25 0417020312 141S 555E 30 0417020318 147S 563E 30 0417020400 153S 568E 30 0417020406 159S 568E 30 0417020412 167S 565E 35