WTXS31 PGTW 111500 RRA

MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//

SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FINAL WARNING//

RMKS/

1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (CARLOS) WARNING NR 015

   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

    ---

   WARNING POSITION:

   111200Z --- NEAR 30.5S 65.2E

     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 11 KTS

     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM

     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE

   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   SUBTROPICAL

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   REPEAT POSIT: 30.5S 65.2E

    ---

   FORECASTS:

   12 HRS, VALID AT:

   120000Z --- 31.2S 66.3E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   SUBTROPICAL

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

    ---

REMARKS:

111500Z POSITION NEAR 30.7S 65.5E.

TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 04S (CARLOS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 756 NM

SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PORT LOUIS, MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD

AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS ASSESSED AS A

SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE BASED ON ITS LOCATION UNDER THE 200MB

SUBTROPICAL WESTERLIES AND A 500MB TROUGH, SST NEAR 25C, MODERATE=