WTXS31 PGTW 110300 RRA

MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//

SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (CARLOS) WARNING NR 014//

RMKS/

1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (CARLOS) WARNING NR 014

   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

    ---

   WARNING POSITION:

   110000Z --- NEAR 29.1S 62.5E

     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 15 KTS

     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM

     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE

   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   REPEAT POSIT: 29.1S 62.5E

    ---

   FORECASTS:

   12 HRS, VALID AT:

   111200Z --- 30.2S 65.2E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 07 KTS

    ---

   24 HRS, VALID AT:

   120000Z --- 30.9S 66.6E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT=