WTXS31 PGTW 101400 RRA

MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//

SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (CARLOS) WARNING NR 013//

RMKS/

1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (CARLOS) WARNING NR 013

   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

    ---

   WARNING POSITION:

   101200Z --- NEAR 28.1S 60.0E

     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 15 KTS

     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM

     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE

   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   REPEAT POSIT: 28.1S 60.0E

    ---

   FORECASTS:

   12 HRS, VALID AT:

   110000Z --- 29.6S 63.0E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 13 KTS

    ---

   24 HRS, VALID AT:

   111200Z --- 30.6S 65.8E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT