WTXS31 PGTW 071500 RRA

MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//

SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (CARLOS) WARNING NR 007//

RMKS/

1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (CARLOS) WARNING NR 007

   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

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   WARNING POSITION:

   071200Z --- NEAR 20.0S 54.4E

     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 10 KTS

     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM

     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE

   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   REPEAT POSIT: 20.0S 54.4E

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   FORECASTS:

   12 HRS, VALID AT:

   080000Z --- 21.2S 53.0E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 06 KTS

    ---

   24 HRS, VALID AT:

   081200Z --- 22.2S 52.2E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY=