WTNT82 EGRR 040419



  MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC



             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 04.10.2016



             HURRICANE MATTHEW    ANALYSED POSITION : 16.6N  74.8W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142016



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 04.10.2016    0  16.6N  74.8W      973            60

    1200UTC 04.10.2016   12  18.2N  74.1W      978            66

    0000UTC 05.10.2016   24  20.0N  73.9W      977            62

    1200UTC 05.10.2016   36  21.7N  74.7W      982            61

    0000UTC 06.10.2016   48  23.2N  76.0W      980            63

    1200UTC 06.10.2016   60  24.9N  77.7W      974            62

    0000UTC 07.10.2016   72  26.7N  79.7W      969            67

    1200UTC 07.10.2016   84  28.9N  80.9W      963            71

    0000UTC 08.10.2016   96  31.5N  81.3W      967            61

    1200UTC 08.10.2016  108  33.9N  80.2W      981            47

    0000UTC 09.10.2016  120  37.3N  76.9W      993            44

    1200UTC 09.10.2016  132  41.7N  72.0W      989            48

    0000UTC 10.10.2016  144  46.0N  66.3W      976            47



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER   6 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+  6 : 23.2N  60.6W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 04.10.2016   12  23.8N  60.7W     1011            27

    0000UTC 05.10.2016   24  24.6N  61.8W     1010            32

    1200UTC 05.10.2016   36  25.8N  63.5W     1010            34

    0000UTC 06.10.2016   48  27.4N  64.7W     1009            33

    1200UTC 06.10.2016   60  28.8N  65.4W     1009            31

    0000UTC 07.10.2016   72  29.3N  64.7W     1009            27

    1200UTC 07.10.2016   84  28.6N  64.0W     1005            29

    0000UTC 08.10.2016   96  27.5N  63.1W     1001            33

    1200UTC 08.10.2016  108  26.7N  63.3W     1000            45

    0000UTC 09.10.2016  120  26.6N  63.9W      991            53

    1200UTC 09.10.2016  132  26.9N  65.9W      991            47

    0000UTC 10.10.2016  144  26.3N  67.5W      987            53



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 12.5N 118.8W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 09.10.2016  132  13.4N 118.6W     1005            27

    0000UTC 10.10.2016  144  14.4N 120.1W     1004            23





 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE

 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS

 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.



 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK



 TOO 040418