WTNT44 KNHC 050256 RRA

TCDAT4



HURRICANE MATTHEW DISCUSSION NUMBER  28

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142016

1100 PM EDT TUE OCT 04 2016



HURRICANE MATTHEW MADE LANDFALL ALONG THE EXTREME EASTERN COAST OF

CUBA NEAR JUACO AROUND 0000 UTC THIS EVENING, AND THE EYE IS JUST

NOW MOVING OFF OF THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF CUBA. SOME WEAKENING HAS

OCCURRED DUE TO INTERACTION WITH THE MOUNTAINS OF EASTERN CUBA AND

WESTERN HAITI. HOWEVER, LATEST REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE

RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE CENTRAL PRESSURE HASN'T

RISEN MUCH AND THAT THE MAXIMUM WINDS HAVE ONLY DECREASED TO AN

ESTIMATED 115 KT, KEEPING MATTHEW A DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR

HURRICANE.



RADAR AND RECON FIXES INDICATE THAT MATTHEW IS MOVING SLIGHTLY WEST

OF DUE NORTH, OR 350/07 KT. MATTHEW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TURNING

TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO, FOLLOWED

BY A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IN 24-48 HOURS AS THE LARGE RIDGE TO THE

NORTH OF THE POWERFUL HURRICANE BEGINS TO BUILD WESTWARD ACROSS THE

SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES IN RESPONSE TO A BROAD TROUGH OVER THE

CENTRAL U.S. WEAKENING AND LIFTING OUT TO THE NORTHEAST. THE NEXT

UPSTREAM WEATHER SYSTEM THAT WILL AFFECT THE STEERING CURRENTS

SURRROUNDING MATTHEW IS A LARGE TROUGH CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE

NORTHWESTERN U.S. AND SOUTHWESTERN CANADA. THAT SYSTEM IS FORECAST

TO DIG SOUTHEASTWARD AND AMPLIFY OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. DURING NEXT

SEVERAL DAYS, RESULTING IN SIGNIFICANT RIDGING DOWNSTREAM OVER THE

NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES. AS THE NEXT RIDGE BUILDS AND LIFTS

NORTHWARD, MATTHEW IS EXPECTED TO TURN NORTHWARD AS WELL BY 72

HOURS, AND TURN NORTHEASTWARD AFTER THAT AS THE AFOREMENTIONED=