WTPQ32 PGUM 280339 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION CHABA (21W) ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP212016 200 PM CHST WED SEP 28 2016 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION CHABA FORMS EAST OF THE MARIANAS... CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY -------------------------- A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA...TINIAN AND SAIPAN. WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA...TINIAN AND SAIPAN. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...INCLUDING WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE...ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING. SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.2N 147.7E ABOUT 145 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN ABOUT 150 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TINIAN ABOUT 170 MILES EAST OF ROTA ABOUT 205 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST...265 DEGREES AT 16 MPH DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- AT 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION CHABA WAS LOCATED BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 147.7 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST AT 16 MPH. CHABA IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN A GENERAL WESTWARD TRACK TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...TAKING IT OVER THE MARIANAS THIS EVENING AND EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. IT WILL TURN NORTHWEST ON FRIDAY WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD MOTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 MPH. CHABA IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN THIS INTENSITY THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...WITH SLOW INTENSIFICATION ON THURSDAY. CHABA COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON FRIDAY. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 500 PM LATER THIS AFTERNOON...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 800 PM. $$ M AYDLETT