WTPN32 PGTW 011500

MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//

SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//

RMKS/

1. TYPHOON 21W (CHABA) WARNING NR 015

   UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 21W

   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

    ---

   WARNING POSITION:

   011200Z --- NEAR 17.7N 133.7E

     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 12 KTS

     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM

     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE

   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   REPEAT POSIT: 17.7N 133.7E

    ---

   FORECASTS:

   12 HRS, VALID AT:

   020000Z --- 19.7N 131.7E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 15 KTS

    ---

   24 HRS, VALID AT:

   021200Z --- 22.0N 129.7E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 12 KTS

    ---

   36 HRS, VALID AT:

   030000Z --- 24.0N 128.4E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 11 KTS

    ---

   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:

   48 HRS, VALID AT:

   031200Z --- 26.2N 127.9E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 12 KTS

    ---

   72 HRS, VALID AT:

   041200Z --- 31.0N 129.2E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 20 KTS

    ---

   LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:

    ---

   96 HRS, VALID AT:

   051200Z --- 35.6N 137.3E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL

   VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 34 KTS

    ---

   120 HRS, VALID AT:

   061200Z --- 39.0N 153.8E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   EXTRATROPICAL

    ---

REMARKS:

011500Z POSITION NEAR 18.2N 133.2E.

TYPHOON 21W (CHABA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 621 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST

OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS

OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011200Z

IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 012100Z, 020300Z, 020900Z AND 021500Z.//