WTPN31 PGTW 122100

MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//

SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//

RMKS/

1. SUPER TYPHOON 16W (MERANTI) WARNING NR 017

   03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

    ---

   WARNING POSITION:

   121800Z --- NEAR 19.3N 126.7E

     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 15 KTS

     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM

     POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE

   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   REPEAT POSIT: 19.3N 126.7E

    ---

   FORECASTS:

   12 HRS, VALID AT:

   130600Z --- 20.0N 124.0E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 160 KT, GUSTS 195 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            185 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS

    ---

   24 HRS, VALID AT:

   131800Z --- 20.9N 121.7E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS

    ---

   36 HRS, VALID AT:

   140600Z --- 22.0N 119.6E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS

    ---

   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:

   48 HRS, VALID AT:

   141800Z --- 23.2N 117.8E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS

    ---

   72 HRS, VALID AT:

   151800Z --- 25.9N 116.0E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND

   VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 07 KTS

    ---

   LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:

    ---

   96 HRS, VALID AT:

   161800Z --- 28.8N 116.7E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND

    ---

REMARKS:

122100Z POSITION NEAR 19.5N 126.0E.

SUPER TYPHOON 16W (MERANTI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 436 NM SOUTH

OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, JAPAN HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT

15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE

HEIGHT AT 121800Z IS 47 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130300Z, 130900Z,

131500Z AND 132100Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 18W (MALAKAS)

WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL

DEPRESSION 19W (RAI) FOR FINAL WARNING (WTPN34 PGTW).//