WTPA25 PHFO 311434 TCMCP5 HURRICANE MADELINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP142016 1500 UTC WED AUG 31 2016 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MAUI COUNTY... INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND KAHOOLAWE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * HAWAII COUNTY A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MAUI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND KAHOOLAWE A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 153.1W AT 31/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 10NE 0SE 0SW 5NW. 50 KT....... 20NE 10SE 5SW 15NW. 34 KT.......110NE 40SE 20SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE 180SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 153.1W AT 31/1500Z AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 152.5W FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 18.5N 154.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 5NW. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 5SW 15NW. 34 KT...110NE 40SE 20SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 18.2N 156.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 10NW. 34 KT... 90NE 30SE 10SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 17.9N 159.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 20SE 0SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 17.9N 161.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.0N 166.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 18.5N 171.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 19.6N 175.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 153.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BIRCHARD