WTPA25 PHFO 300851 TCMCP5 HURRICANE MADELINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP142016 0900 UTC TUE AUG 30 2016 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * HAWAII COUNTY. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A HURRICANE WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MADELINE. WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR ADDITIONAL HAWAIIAN ISLANDS LATER TONIGHT OR TOMORROW. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 147.2W AT 30/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 950 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT.......110NE 80SE 80SW 110NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 90SE 90SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 147.2W AT 30/0900Z AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 146.7W FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 19.2N 148.6W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...110NE 80SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 19.1N 150.6W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 18.7N 152.6W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 70SE 70SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 18.5N 154.6W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 20SE 20SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 50SE 50SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 18.4N 158.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 15SE 15SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 40SE 40SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 18.9N 163.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 19.8N 168.1W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 147.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z $$ FORECASTER POWELL