WTPN33 PHNC 172200

MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//

SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//

RMKS/

1. TROPICAL STORM 06E (ESTELLE) WARNING NR 010

   02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

    ---

   WARNING POSITION:

   171800Z --- NEAR 16.4N 112.1W

     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 07 KTS

     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM

     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE

   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   REPEAT POSIT: 16.4N 112.1W

    ---

   FORECASTS:

   12 HRS, VALID AT:

   180600Z --- 17.0N 113.7W

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS

    ---

   24 HRS, VALID AT:

   181800Z --- 17.6N 115.4W

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS

    ---

   36 HRS, VALID AT:

   190600Z --- 18.0N 117.2W

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS

    ---

   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:

   48 HRS, VALID AT:

   191800Z --- 18.4N 119.1W

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS

    ---

   72 HRS, VALID AT:

   201800Z --- 19.0N 123.3W

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS

    ---

   LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:

    ---

   96 HRS, VALID AT:

   211800Z --- 20.0N 128.2W

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS

    ---

   120 HRS, VALID AT:

   221800Z --- 22.0N 133.5W

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

    ---

REMARKS:

172200Z POSITION NEAR 16.6N 112.6W.

TROPICAL STORM 06E (ESTELLE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 152 NM SOUTH-

SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07

KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.

MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171800Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT

WARNINGS AT 180400Z, 181000Z, 181600Z AND 182200Z.

REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 05E (DARBY) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC)

FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//