WTXS51 PGTW 200900 WARNING ATCG MIL 15S SIO 160320074407 2016032006 15S EMERAUDE 010 01 155 02 SATL 045 T000 110S 0875E 070 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 015 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 030 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 075 SE QD 070 SW QD 065 NW QD T012 114S 0872E 070 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 015 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 030 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 075 SE QD 070 SW QD 065 NW QD T024 119S 0862E 075 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 035 NE QD 045 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 065 NE QD 080 SE QD 075 SW QD 070 NW QD T036 123S 0847E 080 R064 020 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 085 SE QD 085 SW QD 075 NW QD T048 125S 0832E 080 R064 020 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 075 NW QD T072 128S 0815E 070 R064 015 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 035 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 075 NW QD T096 132S 0807E 065 T120 139S 0801E 070 AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (EMERAUDE) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z --- NEAR 11.0S 87.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 11.0S 87.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z --- 11.4S 87.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z --- 11.9S 86.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z --- 12.3S 84.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z --- 12.5S 83.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z --- 12.8S 81.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 02 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z --- 13.2S 80.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z --- 13.9S 80.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 200900Z POSITION NEAR 11.1S 87.4E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (EMERAUDE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 919 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202100Z AND 210900Z.// 1516031506 113S 867E 25 1516031512 112S 862E 30 1516031518 111S 858E 40 1516031600 110S 854E 50 1516031606 108S 849E 55 1516031606 108S 849E 55 1516031612 107S 847E 75 1516031612 107S 847E 75 1516031612 107S 847E 75 1516031618 106S 844E 90 1516031618 106S 844E 90 1516031618 106S 844E 90 1516031700 105S 842E 95 1516031700 105S 842E 95 1516031700 105S 842E 95 1516031706 105S 841E 125 1516031706 105S 841E 125 1516031706 105S 841E 125 1516031712 105S 840E 120 1516031712 105S 840E 120 1516031712 105S 840E 120 1516031718 104S 839E 115 1516031718 104S 839E 115 1516031718 104S 839E 115 1516031800 101S 842E 105 1516031800 101S 842E 105 1516031800 101S 842E 105 1516031806 101S 848E 85 1516031806 101S 848E 85 1516031806 101S 848E 85 1516031812 101S 853E 70 1516031812 101S 853E 70 1516031812 101S 853E 70 1516031818 102S 859E 60 1516031818 102S 859E 60 1516031900 104S 865E 65 1516031900 104S 865E 65 1516031906 105S 869E 70 1516031906 105S 869E 70 1516031906 105S 869E 70 1516031912 106S 872E 75 1516031912 106S 872E 75 1516031912 106S 872E 75 1516031918 107S 873E 75 1516031918 107S 873E 75 1516031918 107S 873E 75 1516032000 108S 874E 70 1516032000 108S 874E 70 1516032000 108S 874E 70 1516032006 110S 875E 70 1516032006 110S 875E 70 1516032006 110S 875E 70