WTXS51 PGTW 182100 WARNING ATCG MIL 15S SIO 160318203217 2016031818 15S EMERAUDE 007 01 100 06 SATL 045 T000 102S 0859E 060 R050 035 NE QD 030 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 055 NE QD 045 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD T012 105S 0868E 065 R050 040 NE QD 035 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 065 NE QD 055 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD T024 110S 0873E 075 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 065 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 055 NW QD T036 116S 0872E 080 R064 020 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 045 NE QD 055 SE QD 050 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 080 SE QD 075 SW QD 060 NW QD T048 120S 0864E 080 R064 020 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 045 NE QD 055 SE QD 050 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 080 SE QD 075 SW QD 060 NW QD T072 124S 0842E 075 R064 020 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 055 SE QD 045 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 065 NE QD 080 SE QD 075 SW QD 055 NW QD T096 127S 0826E 075 T120 132S 0818E 080 AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (EMERAUDE) WARNING NR 007 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (EMERAUDE) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z --- NEAR 10.2S 85.9E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 100 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 10.2S 85.9E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z --- 10.5S 86.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z --- 11.0S 87.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z --- 11.6S 87.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z --- 12.0S 86.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z --- 12.4S 84.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z --- 12.7S 82.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z --- 13.2S 81.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 182100Z POSITION NEAR 10.3S 86.1E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (EMERAUDE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 816 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z AND 192100Z. // 1516031400 107S 879E 15 1516031406 109S 877E 15 1516031412 111S 874E 15 1516031418 112S 871E 20 1516031500 112S 868E 25 1516031506 112S 866E 25 1516031512 112S 863E 30 1516031518 111S 858E 40 1516031600 110S 854E 50 1516031606 108S 849E 55 1516031606 108S 849E 55 1516031612 107S 847E 75 1516031612 107S 847E 75 1516031612 107S 847E 75 1516031618 106S 844E 90 1516031618 106S 844E 90 1516031618 106S 844E 90 1516031700 105S 842E 95 1516031700 105S 842E 95 1516031700 105S 842E 95 1516031706 105S 841E 125 1516031706 105S 841E 125 1516031706 105S 841E 125 1516031712 105S 840E 120 1516031712 105S 840E 120 1516031712 105S 840E 120 1516031718 104S 839E 115 1516031718 104S 839E 115 1516031718 104S 839E 115 1516031800 101S 842E 105 1516031800 101S 842E 105 1516031800 101S 842E 105 1516031806 101S 848E 85 1516031806 101S 848E 85 1516031806 101S 848E 85 1516031812 101S 853E 70 1516031812 101S 853E 70 1516031812 101S 853E 70 1516031818 102S 859E 60 1516031818 102S 859E 60