WTPA21 PHFO 140832

TCMCP1



TROPICAL STORM PALI FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28

NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP012016

0900 UTC THU JAN 14 2016



THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.



INTERESTS ON HOWLAND AND BAKER ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS

OF PALI.



TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR  2.3N 172.5W AT 14/0900Z

POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM



PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OR 205 DEGREES AT   6 KT



ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.

34 KT....... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.

12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.

WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL

MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.



REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR  2.3N 172.5W AT 14/0900Z

AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  2.4N 172.2W



FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z  1.9N 173.3W

MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.



FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z  1.5N 174.5W

MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.



FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z  1.3N 175.7W

MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.



FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z  1.3N 177.0W

MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.



FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z  1.5N 179.5W

MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.



EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM

ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY



OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z  2.0N 177.5E

MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.



OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z  3.0N 174.5E

MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.



REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF  2.3N 172.5W



NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z



..



FORECASTER BIRCHARD=