WTNT82 EGRR 140418



  MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC



             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 14.01.2016



        TROPICAL STORM ALEX       ANALYSED POSITION : 28.0N  30.3W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL012016



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 14.01.2016    0  28.0N  30.3W      986            48

    1200UTC 14.01.2016   12  30.8N  28.6W      986            51

    0000UTC 15.01.2016   24  34.5N  27.0W      984            47

    1200UTC 15.01.2016   36  39.0N  27.9W      981            54

    0000UTC 16.01.2016   48  45.1N  28.6W      975            56

    1200UTC 16.01.2016   60  53.6N  32.6W      969            58

    0000UTC 17.01.2016   72              POST-TROPICAL



        TROPICAL STORM PALI       ANALYSED POSITION :  3.0N 171.8W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP012016



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 14.01.2016    0   3.0N 171.8W     1000            29

    1200UTC 14.01.2016   12   2.0N 172.8W     1001            35

    0000UTC 15.01.2016   24   1.6N 173.5W      996            43

    1200UTC 15.01.2016   36   1.4N 174.4W      996            45

    0000UTC 16.01.2016   48   1.3N 175.2W      997            40

    1200UTC 16.01.2016   60   1.3N 175.4W      996            42

    0000UTC 17.01.2016   72   1.4N 175.1W      996            41

    1200UTC 17.01.2016   84   1.1N 174.1W     1001            37

    0000UTC 18.01.2016   96   0.8N 173.8W     1005            27

    1200UTC 18.01.2016  108   0.2S 174.3W     1008            21

    0000UTC 19.01.2016  120              CEASED TRACKING



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  84 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 24.9S  38.4W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 17.01.2016   84  24.9S  38.4W     1008            30

    0000UTC 18.01.2016   96  26.1S  38.0W     1009            29

    1200UTC 18.01.2016  108  27.3S  37.0W     1009            26

    0000UTC 19.01.2016  120  28.3S  36.2W     1010            27

    1200UTC 19.01.2016  132  28.9S  35.6W     1010            21

    0000UTC 20.01.2016  144  30.4S  35.2W     1010            24





 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE

 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS

 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.



 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK



 TOO 140417