WTPZ31 KNHC 190835

TCPEP1



BULLETIN

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E ADVISORY NUMBER   4

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212015

200 AM MST THU NOV 19 2015



...DEPRESSION MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD...





SUMMARY OF 200 AM MST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION

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LOCATION...13.7N 106.1W

ABOUT 385 MI...620 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES





WATCHES AND WARNINGS

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THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.





DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK

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AT 200 AM MST (0900 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION

TWENTY-ONE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH, LONGITUDE 106.1

WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 6 MPH (9 KM/H).

A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TODAY, WITH A MOTION TOWARD

THE WEST-NORTHWEST EXPECTED TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.



MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH (55 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

SLOW STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS, AND THE

DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAT OR TONIGHT.



THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB (29.65 INCHES).





HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

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NONE





NEXT ADVISORY

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NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 800 AM MST.



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FORECASTER BEVEN=