WTPZ31 KNHC 181555

TCPEP1



BULLETIN

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER   1

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212015

1000 AM MDT WED NOV 18 2015



...LATE-SEASON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS WELL SOUTHWEST OF THE

COAST OF MEXICO...





SUMMARY OF 1000 AM MDT...1600 UTC...INFORMATION

-----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...13.0N 107.2W

ABOUT 455 MI...735 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES





WATCHES AND WARNINGS

--------------------

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.





DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK

------------------------------

AT 1000 AM MDT (1600 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION

TWENTY-ONE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.0 NORTH, LONGITUDE 107.2

WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 2 MPH (4

KM/H), AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. A TURN

TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AND THEN NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED THURSDAY

AND FRIDAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.



MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH (55 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS, AND THE

DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT OR

THURSDAY.



THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB (29.68 INCHES).





HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

----------------------

NONE





NEXT ADVISORY

-------------

NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 300 PM MDT.



..

FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN=