WTIO51 PGTW 310900 WARNING ATCG MIL 04A NIO 151031062654 2015103106 04A CHAPALA 011 01 270 09 SATL 010 T000 139N 0587E 115 R064 030 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 115 NE QD 105 SE QD 105 SW QD 120 NW QD T012 139N 0572E 110 R064 030 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 095 SE QD 095 SW QD 110 NW QD T024 141N 0555E 110 R064 030 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 095 SE QD 095 SW QD 110 NW QD T036 144N 0540E 105 R064 030 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 095 SE QD 095 SW QD 110 NW QD T048 148N 0522E 090 R064 030 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 085 SE QD 085 SW QD 100 NW QD T072 165N 0495E 060 T096 182N 0485E 025 AMP 072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND 096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A (CHAPALA) WARNING NR 011 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A (CHAPALA) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 310600Z --- NEAR 13.9N 58.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.9N 58.7E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z --- 13.9N 57.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z --- 14.1N 55.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z --- 14.4N 54.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z --- 14.8N 52.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z --- 16.5N 49.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z --- 18.2N 48.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 310900Z POSITION NEAR 13.9N 58.3E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A (CHAPALA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 245 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF SOCOTRA ISLAND, YEMEN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310600Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 311500Z, 312100Z, 010300Z AND 010900Z.// 0415102500 57N 648E 15 0415102506 60N 646E 20 0415102512 65N 649E 20 0415102518 67N 652E 20 0415102600 69N 657E 20 0415102606 71N 661E 25 0415102612 79N 663E 25 0415102618 88N 662E 25 0415102700 96N 660E 25 0415102706 102N 657E 25 0415102712 105N 654E 25 0415102718 109N 651E 25 0415102800 115N 648E 30 0415102806 122N 649E 35 0415102812 128N 650E 40 0415102815 130N 648E 40 0415102818 131N 646E 45 0415102821 132N 644E 45 0415102900 135N 642E 50 0415102906 138N 638E 55 0415102906 138N 638E 55 0415102912 142N 631E 65 0415102912 142N 631E 65 0415102918 143N 623E 75 0415102918 143N 623E 75 0415102918 143N 623E 75 0415103000 142N 618E 100 0415103000 142N 618E 100 0415103000 142N 618E 100 0415103006 141N 611E 135 0415103006 141N 611E 135 0415103006 141N 611E 135 0415103012 140N 606E 130 0415103012 140N 606E 130 0415103012 140N 606E 130 0415103018 139N 602E 125 0415103018 139N 602E 125 0415103018 139N 602E 125 0415103100 139N 596E 120 0415103100 139N 596E 120 0415103100 139N 596E 120 0415103106 139N 587E 115 0415103106 139N 587E 115 0415103106 139N 587E 115