WTPZ34 KNHC 160231

TCPEP4



BULLETIN

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   5

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP192015

800 PM PDT THU OCT 15 2015



...DEPRESSION HAS WEAKENED A LITTLE BUT STILL EXPECTED TO GAIN

STRENGTH DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS...





SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION

----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...10.2N 122.1W

ABOUT 1190 MI...1915 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES





WATCHES AND WARNINGS

--------------------

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.





DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK

------------------------------

AT 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION

NINETEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.2 NORTH, LONGITUDE 122.1

WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH

(20 KM/H), AND THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED

IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY.



MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH (45 KM/H) WITH

HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48

HOURS, AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY FRIDAY

NIGHT.



THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB (29.74 INCHES).





HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

----------------------

NONE.





NEXT ADVISORY

-------------

NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 200 AM PDT.



..

FORECASTER CANGIALOSI=