WTPN32 PHNC 200400

MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//

SUBJ/HURRICANE 19E (OLAF) WARNING NR 021//

RMKS/

1. HURRICANE 19E (OLAF) WARNING NR 021

   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

    ---

   WARNING POSITION:

   200000Z --- NEAR 10.0N 139.1W

     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 09 KTS

     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM

     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE

   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   REPEAT POSIT: 10.0N 139.1W

    ---

   FORECASTS:

   12 HRS, VALID AT:

   201200Z --- 10.4N 140.8W

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS

    ---

   24 HRS, VALID AT:

   210000Z --- 11.1N 142.4W

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS

    ---

   36 HRS, VALID AT:

   211200Z --- 12.0N 143.8W

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS

    ---

   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:

   48 HRS, VALID AT:

   220000Z --- 13.0N 145.0W

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS

    ---

   72 HRS, VALID AT:

   230000Z --- 15.4N 146.6W

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 07 KTS

    ---

   LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:

    ---

   96 HRS, VALID AT:

   240000Z --- 18.3N 146.9W

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 07 KTS

    ---

   120 HRS, VALID AT:

   250000Z --- 20.9N 146.4W

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

    ---

REMARKS:

200400Z POSITION NEAR 10.1N 139.7W.

HURRICANE 19E (OLAF), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1094 NM EAST-

SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST

SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z IS 37 FEET.

NEXT WARNINGS AT 201000Z, 201600Z, 202200Z AND 210400Z.//