WTPQ32 PGUM 160248 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CHAMPI (25W) ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP252015 200 PM CHST FRI OCT 16 2015 ...CHAMPI CONTINUES TO TRACK CLOSER TO SAIPAN... CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY -------------------------- TYPHOON WATCH FOR ALAMAGAN...PAGAN AND AGRIHAN HAS BEEN CANCELED. WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THE TYPHOON WATCH FOR ALAMAGAN...PAGAN AND AGRIHAN HAS BEEN CANCELED. TYPHOON FORCE CONDITIONS ARE NO LONGER POSSIBLE THERE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA...TINIAN... SAIPAN...ALAMAGAN...PAGAN AND AGRIHAN. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... INCLUDING DAMAGING WINDS OF 39 MPH OR GREATER...ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE THIS EVENING. SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.9N 146.3E ABOUT 205 MILES SOUTH OF AGRIHAN ABOUT 155 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PAGAN ABOUT 125 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ALAMAGAN ABOUT 65 MILES NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN ABOUT 80 MILES NORTHEAST OF TINIAN ABOUT 145 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF ROTA ABOUT 200 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF GUAM MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST...265 DEGREES AT 18 MPH. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- THE 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...POSITION OF TROPICAL STORM CHAMPI IS NEAR LATITUDE 15.9 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 146.3 EAST. MOVEMENT IS TOWARD THE WEST AT 18 MPH. CHAMPI IS EXPECTED TO TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST LATER TODAY WITH A GRADUAL REDUCTION IN FORWARD SPEED OVER THE WEEKEND. THIS TRACK TAKES THE CENTER OF CHAMPI THROUGH THE NORTHERN MARIANAS NEAR ANATAHAN THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN 70 MPH. TROPICAL STORM CHAMPI IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY THE NEXT FEW DAYS...AND IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TYPHOON THIS EVENING OR OVERNIGHT. LATEST SATELLITE DATA INDICATE THAT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 195 MILES SOUTH OF THE CENTER AND UP TO 155 MILES NORTH OF THE CENTER. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE THIS AFTERNOON AT 500 PM FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 800 PM. $$ M. AYDLETT