WTPA31 PHFO 252359 TCPCP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM NIALA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP062015 200 PM HST FRI SEP 25 2015 ...TROPICAL STORM NIALA SOUTHEAST OF HAWAII AND MOVING NORTHWESTWARD... SUMMARY OF 200 PM HST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.0N 150.6W ABOUT 390 MI...630 KM SE OF HILO HAWAII ABOUT 600 MI...965 KM SE OF HONOLULU HAWAII MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * HAWAII COUNTY A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TROPICAL STORM NIALA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN HONOLULU HAWAII. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 PM HST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NIALA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 150.6 WEST. NIALA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE WEST AND A SLOWING OF THE FORWARD MOTION SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED INTO SATURDAY...FOLLOWED BY WEAKENING SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM NIALA WILL LIKELY REACH PARTS OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THIS WEEKEND. THIS ENHANCED TROPICAL MOISTURE MAY PRODUCE LIFE THREATENING FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...MAINLY OVER THE BIG ISLAND. SURF...SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM NIALA WILL PRODUCE ELEVATED SURF ALONG EAST AND SOUTHEAST FACING SHORES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...MAINLY THE BIG ISLAND...STARTING THIS WEEKEND AND CONTINUING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE BIG ISLAND ON SUNDAY. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST. $$ FORECASTER WROE