WTPA45 PHFO 222031

TCDCP5



POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE MALIA DISCUSSION NUMBER  17

NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP052015

1100 AM HST TUE SEP 22 2015



MALIA HAS BEEN A LOW LEVEL CLOUD SWIRL WITH NO DEEP CONVECTION NEAR

THE CENTER FOR ALMOST 24 HOURS. THUS...MALIA IS BEING DECLARED A

POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW. THE CYCLONE IS CROSSING THE SST GRADIENT

TOWARD MUCH COOLER WATER AND THE CIMSS 1800 UTC ANALYSIS SHOWED

ABOUT 42 KT OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR SO REDEVELOPMENT IS HIGHLY

UNLIKELY. FURTHERMORE...THE CENTER IS MOVING AT 345/16 KT TOWARD A

LARGE MID-LATITUDE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WEST OF THE DATELINE. THE

REMNANTS OF MALIA ARE EXPECTED TO BE ABSORBED BY THIS LARGER LOW

WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. IN THE SHORT TERM...THE INITIAL WIND

FIELD WILL REMAIN ELEVATED AT 30 TO 35 KT IN THE NORTHEASTERN

QUADRANT DUE TO A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN MALIA/S REMNANT

AND A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST. THESE

WINDS WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN AS THE REMNANT LOW SPINS DOWN.



THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY PACKAGE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL

PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER ON MALIA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE

REMNANT LOW...PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL

WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOHSFNP AND WMO HEADER

FZPN40 PHFO.





FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS



INIT  22/2100Z 29.7N 173.4W   35 KT  40 MPH

 12H  23/0600Z 32.6N 174.8W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

 24H  23/1800Z...DISSIPATED



$$

FORECASTER KODAMA