WTPA33 PHFO 302056 TCPCP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP122015 1100 AM HST SUN AUG 30 2015 ...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT FINDS IGNACIO WEAKER BUT STILL A MAJOR HURRICANE FOR NOW... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.0N 149.0W ABOUT 400 MI...645 KM E OF HILO HAWAII ABOUT 600 MI...965 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...961 MB...28.38 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI AND KAHOOLAWE. * HAWAII COUNTY A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS OF THE INITIAL ISSUANCE. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IGNACIO. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN HONOLULU HAWAII. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS LOCATED BY U.S. AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT NEAR LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 149.0 WEST. IGNACIO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IGNACIO WILL PASS APPROXIMATELY 200 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND TUESDAY NIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IGNACIO IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY TUESDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 961 MB...28.38 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE BIG ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT...AND TUESDAY ON MAUI. RAINFALL...STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS NEAR 5 INCHES MAINLY IN AREAS OF HIGHER TERRAIN...ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA. SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IGNACIO WILL ARRIVE ALONG EAST AND SOUTHEAST FACING SHORES OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. RESULTANT SURF WILL BE LARGE AND POTENTIALLY LIFE-THREATENING...ESPECIALLY ON THE BIG ISLAND LATER TODAY AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM HST. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST. $$ FORECASTER R BALLARD