WTPA32 PHFO 241451 TCPCP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM LOKE ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP042015 500 AM HST MON AUG 24 2015 ...LOKE MOVING STEADILY NORTHEAST TOWARD THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT... SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.2N 177.6W ABOUT 210 MI...335 KM S OF MIDWAY ISLAND ABOUT 195 MI...310 KM SW OF PEARL AND HERMES ATOLL MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM PEARL AND HERMES ATOLL TO LISIANSKI ISLAND. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MIDWAY ISLAND * PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM LISIANSKI ISLAND TO MARO REEF. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 36 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LOKE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LOKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 177.6 WEST. LOKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH ON TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK... THE CENTER OF LOKE IS EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR PEARL AND HERMES ATOLL LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS...AND LOKE IS FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.36 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD INTO THE WARNED AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON...AND HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM PEARL AND HERMES ATOLL TO LISIANSKI ISLAND LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER MIDWAY ISLAND AND FROM LISIANSKI ISLAND TO MARO REEF LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. SURF...A LARGE EXISTING WESTERLY SWELL COMBINED WITH SOUTH SWELL PRODUCED BY LOKE WILL CAUSE ROUGH SURF ACROSS SOUTH AND WEST FACING REEFS AND SHORELINES OVER THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LARGE WAVES MAY OVERWASH LOW-LYING PORTIONS OF THE ISLANDS AND ATOLLS DURING THIS TIME. RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER PEARL AND HERMES ATOLL AND LISIANSKI ISLAND TODAY AND TONIGHT. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM HST. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST. $$ FORECASTER JACOBSON/R BALLARD