WTPA32 PHFO 241204 TCPCP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM LOKE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 14A NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP042015 200 AM HST MON AUG 24 2015 ...LOKE CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT... SUMMARY OF 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.4N 178.0W ABOUT 270 MI...435 KM S OF MIDWAY ISLAND ABOUT 275 MI...440 KM WSW OF LISIANSKI ISLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...105 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.38 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM PEARL AND HERMES ATOLL TO LISIANSKI ISLAND. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MIDWAY ISLAND * PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM LISIANSKI ISLAND TO MARO REEF. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 36 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LOKE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN HONOLULU HAWAII. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LOKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 178.0 WEST. LOKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH ON TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE OUTER WINDS OF LOKE SHOULD REACH THE WARNED AREAS WITHIN THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT THIS AFTERNOON...WITH THE CORE OF LOKE PASSING THROUGH THE WARNED AREA TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...105 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE 24 TO 36 HOURS... AND LOKE IS FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...115 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM PEARL AND HERMES ATOLL TO LISIANSKI ISLAND LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER MIDWAY ISLAND AND FROM LISIANSKI ISLAND TO MARO REEF LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. SURF...A LARGE EXISTING WESTERLY SWELL COMBINED WITH SOUTH SWELL ARRIVING FROM LOKE WILL CAUSE ROUGH SURF ACROSS SOUTH AND WEST FACING REEFS AND SHORELINES OVER THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LARGE WAVES MAY OVERWASH LOW-LYING PORTIONS OF THE ISLANDS AND ATOLLS DURING THIS TIME. RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER PEARL AND HERMES ATOLL AND LISIANSKI ISLAND STARTING LATER TODAY AND CONTINUING TONIGHT. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST. $$ FORECASTER JACOBSON/R BALLARD