WTPA32 PHFO 240838 TCPCP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM LOKE ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP042015 1100 PM HST SUN AUG 23 2015 ...LOKE INTENSIFYING AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.9N 178.5W ABOUT 305 MI...490 KM SSW OF MIDWAY ISLAND ABOUT 320 MI...515 KM WSW OF LISIANSKI ISLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM PEARL AND HERMES ATOLL TO LISIANSKI ISLAND. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MIDWAY ISLAND * PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM LISIANSKI ISLAND TO MARO REEF. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 36 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LOKE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN HONOLULU HAWAII. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LOKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 178.5 WEST. LOKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H. A NORTHEAST MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT AND MONDAY...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH ON TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE OUTER WINDS OF LOKE MAY REACH THE WARNED AREAS WITHIN THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT MONDAY AFTERNOON...WITH THE CORE OF LOKE PASSING THROUGH THE WARNED AREA MONDAY NIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS... WITH LOKE FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE MONDAY NIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM PEARL AND HERMES ATOLL TO LISIANSKI ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER MIDWAY ISLAND AND FROM LISIANSKI ISLAND TO MARO REEF MONDAY NIGHT. SURF...A LARGE EXISTING WESTERLY SWELL COMBINED WITH SOUTH SWELL ARRIVING FROM LOKE WILL CAUSE ROUGH SURF ACROSS SOUTH AND WEST FACING REEFS AND SHORELINES OVER THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LARGE WAVES MAY OVERWASH LOW-LYING PORTIONS OF THE ISLANDS AND ATOLLS DURING THIS TIME. RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER PEARL AND HERMES ATOLL AND LISIANSKI ISLAND STARTING MONDAY. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM HST. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST. $$ FORECASTER JACOBSON/TANABE