WTPA32 PHFO 240246 TCPCP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM LOKE ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP042015 500 PM HST SUN AUG 23 2015 ...LOKE EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE AS IT HEADS TOWARD THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT... ...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED... SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.8N 179.1W ABOUT 390 MI...625 KM SSW OF MIDWAY ISLAND ABOUT 1260 MI...2025 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM PEARL AND HERMES ATOLL TO LISIANSKI ISLAND. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MIDWAY ISLAND. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM LISIANSKI ISLAND TO MARO REEF. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM PEARL AND HERMES ATOLL TO LISIANSKI ISLAND. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MIDWAY ISLAND * PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM LISIANSKI ISLAND TO MARO REEF. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 36 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LOKE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN HONOLULU HAWAII. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LOKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 179.1 WEST. LOKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHEAST AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH ON TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE OUTER WINDS OF LOKE MAY REACH THE WARNED AREAS WITHIN THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT LATE MONDAY NIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH LOKE REACHING HURRICANE STRENGTH ON TUESDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM PEARL AND HERMES ATOLL TO LISIANSKI ISLAND LATE MONDAY NIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER MIDWAY ISLAND AND FROM LISIANSKI ISLAND TO MARO REEF LATE MONDAY NIGHT. SURF...A LARGE EXISTING WESTERLY SWELL COMBINED WITH SOUTH SWELL ARRIVING FROM LOKE WILL CAUSE ROUGH SURF ACROSS SOUTH AND WEST FACING REEFS AND SHORELINES OVER THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER PEARL AND HERMES ATOLL AND LISIANSKI ISLAND STARTING MONDAY. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM HST. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST. $$ FORECASTER KODAMA