WTPA22 PHFO 220835

TCMCP2



TROPICAL STORM LOKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6

NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP042015

0900 UTC SAT AUG 22 2015



THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.



INTERESTS IN THE WESTERN PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL

MONUMENT SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LOKE.



TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 177.2W AT 22/0900Z

POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM



PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   4 KT



ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.

34 KT....... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.

12 FT SEAS.. 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.

WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL

MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.



REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 177.2W AT 22/0900Z

AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 177.2W



FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 17.9N 177.8W

MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.



FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 19.1N 178.7W

MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.



FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 20.5N 179.1W

MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  10NW.

34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.



FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 22.0N 179.0W

MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  10NW.

34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.



FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 25.0N 177.0W

MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

50 KT... 40NE  40SE  10SW  20NW.

34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.



EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM

ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY



OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 29.0N 175.0W

MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.



OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 33.0N 176.0W

MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.



REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 177.2W



NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z



$$

FORECASTER JACOBSON/HOUSTON