WTPN31 PGTW 152100

MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//

SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//

RMKS/

1. TROPICAL STORM 16W (GONI) WARNING NR 008

   02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

    ---

   WARNING POSITION:

   151800Z --- NEAR 14.5N 145.2E

     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 06 KTS

     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM

     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF

     SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA

   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   REPEAT POSIT: 14.5N 145.2E

    ---

   FORECASTS:

   12 HRS, VALID AT:

   160600Z --- 15.1N 143.9E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS

    ---

   24 HRS, VALID AT:

   161800Z --- 15.8N 142.5E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS

    ---

   36 HRS, VALID AT:

   170600Z --- 16.7N 140.6E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS

    ---

   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:

   48 HRS, VALID AT:

   171800Z --- 17.6N 138.3E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS

    ---

   72 HRS, VALID AT:

   181800Z --- 19.0N 133.4E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS

    ---

   LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:

    ---

   96 HRS, VALID AT:

   191800Z --- 20.1N 128.7E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS

    ---

   120 HRS, VALID AT:

   201800Z --- 20.8N 124.9E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

    ---

REMARKS:

152100Z POSITION NEAR 14.7N 144.9E.

TROPICAL STORM 16W (GONI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 24 NM NORTH OF

ROTA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.

MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT

WARNINGS AT 160300Z, 160900Z, 161500Z AND 162100Z. REFER TO

TROPICAL STORM 17W (ATSANI) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR

SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//