WTPN31 PGTW 020800

MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//

SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//

RMKS/

1. TYPHOON 13W (SOUDELOR) WARNING NR 013

   UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 13W

   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

    ---

   WARNING POSITION:

   020600Z --- NEAR 14.8N 146.8E

     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 15 KTS

     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM

     POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF

     SATELLITE AND RADAR

   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   REPEAT POSIT: 14.8N 146.8E

    ---

   FORECASTS:

   12 HRS, VALID AT:

   021800Z --- 15.6N 144.3E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS

    ---

   24 HRS, VALID AT:

   030600Z --- 16.4N 141.9E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS

    ---

   36 HRS, VALID AT:

   031800Z --- 17.3N 139.6E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS

    ---

   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:

   48 HRS, VALID AT:

   040600Z --- 18.2N 137.3E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS

    ---

   72 HRS, VALID AT:

   050600Z --- 20.1N 133.2E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS

    ---

   LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:

    ---

   96 HRS, VALID AT:

   060600Z --- 21.9N 128.8E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS

    ---

   120 HRS, VALID AT:

   070600Z --- 23.6N 124.5E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

    ---

REMARKS:

020900Z POSITION NEAR 15.0N 146.2E.

TYPHOON 13W (SOUDELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 63 NM EAST-

SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE

PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020600Z IS

24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 021500Z, 022100Z, 030300Z AND

030900Z.//