WTPS31 PGTW 040300

MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//

SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (RAQUEL) WARNING NR 011//

RMKS/

1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (RAQUEL) WARNING NR 011

   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

    ---

   WARNING POSITION:

   040000Z --- NEAR 9.0S 159.5E

     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 08 KTS

     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM

     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE

   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER

   REPEAT POSIT: 9.0S 159.5E

    ---

   FORECASTS:

   12 HRS, VALID AT:

   041200Z --- 10.5S 158.2E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER

    ---

REMARKS:

040300Z POSITION NEAR 9.4S 159.2E.

TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (RAQUEL), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 44 NM

NORTHWEST OF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED WEST-

SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED

MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN ILL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL

CIRCULATION CENTER WITH FLARING CONVECTION DRAGGING THROUGH THE

SOLOMON ISLANDS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGES INDICATE BROAD TURNING

ACROSS A LARGE AREA WHICH HAS BEGUN STRETCHING TO THE SOUTHEAST. THE

032244Z ASCAT PASSES HIT BOTH THE EASTERN AND WESTERN EDGES OF THE

SYSTEM AND ONLY INDICATE 20-25 KNOT WINDS. DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM

PGTW AND KNES HAVE ALSO DROPPED BELOW THE WARNING THRESHOLD OF 35

KNOTS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES STRONG (20-30 KNOTS) VERTICAL

WIND SHEAR AND A STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL. THIS IS THE FINAL

WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI.

THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.

MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z IS 12 FEET.

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