WTNT82 EGRR 161556



  MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC



             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 16.10.2018



   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 94L        ANALYSED POSITION : 16.5N  87.9W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL942018



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 16.10.2018    0  16.5N  87.9W     1008            24

    0000UTC 17.10.2018   12              CEASED TRACKING



        TROPICAL STORM TARA       ANALYSED POSITION : 19.8N 105.8W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP222018



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 16.10.2018    0  19.8N 105.8W     1008            19

    0000UTC 17.10.2018   12              CEASED TRACKING



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  24 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 14.3N  93.3W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 17.10.2018   24  14.3N  93.3W     1005            38

    0000UTC 18.10.2018   36  13.6N  94.2W     1004            31

    1200UTC 18.10.2018   48  13.3N  94.9W     1005            33

    0000UTC 19.10.2018   60  13.9N  95.4W     1004            36

    1200UTC 19.10.2018   72  15.2N  98.3W     1001            45

    0000UTC 20.10.2018   84  16.6N 101.2W     1000            49

    1200UTC 20.10.2018   96  17.2N 104.5W     1001            39

    0000UTC 21.10.2018  108  17.2N 105.5W      998            34

    1200UTC 21.10.2018  120  18.5N 106.1W      991            47

    0000UTC 22.10.2018  132  20.0N 106.4W      978            59

    1200UTC 22.10.2018  144  21.4N 106.6W      983            54



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  90 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 10.5N 145.5W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 20.10.2018   96  10.8N 145.9W     1006            22

    0000UTC 21.10.2018  108  11.1N 146.5W     1004            24

    1200UTC 21.10.2018  120  11.8N 146.7W     1005            22

    0000UTC 22.10.2018  132  12.6N 146.7W     1005            24

    1200UTC 22.10.2018  144  13.5N 146.0W     1006            25



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 13.0N 116.9W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 21.10.2018  120  12.9N 117.4W     1007            23

    0000UTC 22.10.2018  132  13.3N 116.0W     1006            26

    1200UTC 22.10.2018  144  13.9N 114.9W     1007            27





 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE

 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS

 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.



 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK



 TOO 161556