WTNT82 EGRR 151556 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 15.10.2018 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 94L ANALYSED POSITION : 15.7N 83.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL942018 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 15.10.2018 0 15.7N 83.3W 1009 22 0000UTC 16.10.2018 12 CEASED TRACKING TROPICAL STORM TARA ANALYSED POSITION : 17.8N 104.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP222018 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 15.10.2018 0 17.8N 104.3W 1003 34 0000UTC 16.10.2018 12 18.5N 104.2W 1004 34 1200UTC 16.10.2018 24 19.0N 104.8W 1006 21 0000UTC 17.10.2018 36 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 54 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 14.2N 94.0W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 18.10.2018 60 14.2N 94.0W 1002 38 1200UTC 18.10.2018 72 14.4N 95.4W 999 41 0000UTC 19.10.2018 84 15.3N 97.8W 1000 45 1200UTC 19.10.2018 96 16.8N 101.4W 1005 42 0000UTC 20.10.2018 108 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 66 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 12.4N 115.7W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 18.10.2018 72 12.0N 115.5W 1006 23 0000UTC 19.10.2018 84 12.0N 115.6W 1004 26 1200UTC 19.10.2018 96 13.1N 115.8W 1004 30 0000UTC 20.10.2018 108 13.8N 115.1W 1003 36 1200UTC 20.10.2018 120 14.5N 114.4W 1003 35 0000UTC 21.10.2018 132 15.0N 113.2W 1002 36 1200UTC 21.10.2018 144 15.2N 111.1W 1003 40 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 78 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 10.0N 141.3W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 19.10.2018 84 10.2N 141.8W 1005 23 1200UTC 19.10.2018 96 10.2N 142.4W 1005 25 0000UTC 20.10.2018 108 10.4N 143.0W 1004 25 1200UTC 20.10.2018 120 10.6N 143.7W 1004 27 0000UTC 21.10.2018 132 10.9N 144.2W 1002 27 1200UTC 21.10.2018 144 11.4N 144.4W 1002 31 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 17.7N 105.4W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 20.10.2018 120 17.7N 105.4W 1004 35 0000UTC 21.10.2018 132 18.2N 106.4W 1000 33 1200UTC 21.10.2018 144 18.9N 107.1W 996 42 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 151556