WTIO31 PGTW 140300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A (LUBAN) WARNING NR 025 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z --- NEAR 15.5N 52.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.5N 52.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z --- 16.0N 51.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z --- 16.4N 50.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 140300Z POSITION NEAR 15.6N 52.4E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 05A (LUBAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 117 NM SOUTHWEST OF SALALAH, OMAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS BEING OBSCURED BY MID-LEVEL CLOUDS AND THE DEEP CONVECTION IS LIMITED TO A RAIN BAND SOUTHEAST OF THE LLCC. THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH FAIR CONFIDENCE BASED ON A 140031Z GMI 37 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE WHICH SUGGESTS THE LLCC IS IN A REGION OF COOLER BRIGHTNESS TEMPERATURES. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T2.5 (35 KTS) FROM KNES AND PGTW. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE MARGINAL WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD OUTFLOW BEING OFFSET BY COOL SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE (27 CELSIUS) AND DRY AIR ENTRAINING IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST. TC 05A IS TRACKING ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR). THE CYCLONE WILL REMAIN ON THIS TRACK UNTIL DISSIPATING SHORTLY AFTER MAKING LANDFALL NORTH OF MUKALLA, YEMEN. WITH THE EXCEPTION OF NAVGEM WHICH IS A SOUTHERN OUTLIER, NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT, LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z, 141500Z AND 142100Z.// NNNN