WTPZ35 KNHC 020851 RRA

TCPEP5



BULLETIN

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ROSA ADVISORY NUMBER  29

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202018

300 AM MDT TUE OCT 02 2018



...HEAVY RAINFALL SPREADING NORTHWARD ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO AND

THE DESERT SOUTHWEST...

............LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING AND DANGEROUS DEBRIS FLOWS

    AND

LANDSLIDES POSSIBLE...





SUMMARY OF 300 AM MDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION

----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...29.3N 114.9W

ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM N OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO

ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM S OF SAN FELIPE MEXICO

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES





WATCHES AND WARNINGS

--------------------

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:



THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS.



SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:



THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.



INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND

NORTHWESTERN SONORA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ROSA.





DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

----------------------

AT 300 AM MDT (0900 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ROSA WAS

LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.3 NORTH, LONGITUDE 114.9 WEST. THE

DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH (17

KM/H).  THIS MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED

TODAY.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF ROSA WILL MOVE ACROSS

THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND INTO THE NORTHERN GULF OF

CALIFORNIA THIS MORNING.  ROSA'S REMNANTS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO MOVE

ACROSS THE DESERT SOUTHWEST BY TONIGHT.



MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH (55 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.