WTNT82 EGRR 261557 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 26.09.2018 TROPICAL STORM LESLIE ANALYSED POSITION : 34.8N 39.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132018 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 26.09.2018 0 34.8N 39.6W 988 49 0000UTC 27.09.2018 12 36.9N 40.8W 975 55 1200UTC 27.09.2018 24 36.9N 42.4W 975 54 0000UTC 28.09.2018 36 36.4N 44.8W 980 49 1200UTC 28.09.2018 48 36.4N 46.1W 983 45 0000UTC 29.09.2018 60 36.1N 48.9W 985 42 1200UTC 29.09.2018 72 35.8N 51.1W 985 43 0000UTC 30.09.2018 84 35.6N 52.5W 982 45 1200UTC 30.09.2018 96 35.2N 53.7W 979 48 0000UTC 01.10.2018 108 34.6N 54.0W 976 48 1200UTC 01.10.2018 120 34.8N 54.5W 971 58 0000UTC 02.10.2018 132 35.0N 55.1W 962 67 1200UTC 02.10.2018 144 33.9N 56.1W 949 80 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 98L ANALYSED POSITION : 34.9N 74.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL982018 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 26.09.2018 0 34.9N 74.9W 1017 25 0000UTC 27.09.2018 12 CEASED TRACKING TROPICAL STORM KIRK ANALYSED POSITION : 12.0N 53.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122018 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 26.09.2018 0 12.0N 53.5W 1003 39 0000UTC 27.09.2018 12 13.1N 56.9W 1003 39 1200UTC 27.09.2018 24 13.7N 59.5W 1005 37 0000UTC 28.09.2018 36 14.5N 61.8W 1005 36 1200UTC 28.09.2018 48 15.2N 64.2W 1007 34 0000UTC 29.09.2018 60 15.9N 66.5W 1007 32 1200UTC 29.09.2018 72 16.3N 68.9W 1008 26 0000UTC 30.09.2018 84 CEASED TRACKING HURRICANE ROSA ANALYSED POSITION : 16.1N 110.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP202018 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 26.09.2018 0 16.1N 110.8W 989 47 0000UTC 27.09.2018 12 16.4N 113.4W 978 54 1200UTC 27.09.2018 24 16.4N 115.5W 970 57 0000UTC 28.09.2018 36 16.4N 117.4W 964 62 1200UTC 28.09.2018 48 16.6N 118.9W 964 63 0000UTC 29.09.2018 60 17.5N 119.9W 964 67 1200UTC 29.09.2018 72 18.9N 120.6W 954 74 0000UTC 30.09.2018 84 21.0N 121.5W 959 67 1200UTC 30.09.2018 96 23.0N 121.8W 968 62 0000UTC 01.10.2018 108 24.7N 120.9W 981 52 1200UTC 01.10.2018 120 26.4N 119.0W 995 39 0000UTC 02.10.2018 132 27.8N 116.7W 1002 27 1200UTC 02.10.2018 144 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 11.0N 103.1W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 29.09.2018 72 11.0N 103.1W 1004 27 0000UTC 30.09.2018 84 11.9N 105.0W 1001 34 1200UTC 30.09.2018 96 11.9N 107.3W 998 39 0000UTC 01.10.2018 108 11.1N 109.5W 992 47 1200UTC 01.10.2018 120 10.9N 111.4W 979 69 0000UTC 02.10.2018 132 10.8N 113.9W 960 78 1200UTC 02.10.2018 144 11.1N 116.4W 947 83 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 13.1N 163.6W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 30.09.2018 96 12.7N 165.3W 1003 33 0000UTC 01.10.2018 108 12.8N 168.5W 998 38 1200UTC 01.10.2018 120 13.1N 171.1W 993 44 0000UTC 02.10.2018 132 13.9N 173.4W 984 48 1200UTC 02.10.2018 144 14.8N 175.2W 974 60 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 132 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+132 : 33.0N 34.3W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 02.10.2018 132 33.0N 34.3W 1011 21 1200UTC 02.10.2018 144 33.8N 33.3W 1009 28 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 261557