WTPZ32 KNHC 021436

TCPEP2



BULLETIN

TROPICAL STORM OLIVIA ADVISORY NUMBER   7

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172018

900 AM MDT SUN SEP 02 2018



...OLIVIA REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED BUT IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN...





SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION

----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...17.0N 112.4W

ABOUT 440 MI...705 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES





WATCHES AND WARNINGS

--------------------

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.





DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

----------------------

AT 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLIVIA WAS

LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH, LONGITUDE 112.4 WEST. OLIVIA IS

MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH (11 KM/H), BUT A TURN TO THE

WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED INTO MONDAY, FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD

THE WEST LATE MONDAY OR EARLY TUESDAY.



MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH (75 KM/H) WITH HIGHER

GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST, AND OLIVIA COULD BECOME A

HURRICANE BY TUESDAY.



TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES (150 KM)

FROM THE CENTER.



THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB (29.59 INCHES).





HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

----------------------

NONE.





NEXT ADVISORY

-------------

NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 300 PM MDT.



....

FORECASTER AVILA