WTNT82 EGRR 050404 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 05.09.2018 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 92L ANALYSED POSITION : 12.3N 23.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL922018 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 05.09.2018 0 12.3N 23.6W 1010 21 1200UTC 05.09.2018 12 CEASED TRACKING HURRICANE FLORENCE ANALYSED POSITION : 20.5N 43.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062018 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 05.09.2018 0 20.5N 43.9W 994 53 1200UTC 05.09.2018 12 21.6N 45.7W 998 52 0000UTC 06.09.2018 24 22.6N 47.8W 1001 50 1200UTC 06.09.2018 36 23.6N 49.7W 1004 48 0000UTC 07.09.2018 48 24.2N 51.1W 1005 46 1200UTC 07.09.2018 60 24.4N 52.9W 1005 44 0000UTC 08.09.2018 72 24.3N 54.2W 1003 42 1200UTC 08.09.2018 84 24.2N 55.1W 999 48 0000UTC 09.09.2018 96 24.5N 56.0W 991 55 1200UTC 09.09.2018 108 24.7N 57.4W 985 53 0000UTC 10.09.2018 120 25.1N 59.1W 971 63 1200UTC 10.09.2018 132 25.2N 61.0W 965 70 0000UTC 11.09.2018 144 25.2N 63.1W 963 70 TROPICAL STORM GORDON ANALYSED POSITION : 29.6N 87.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL072018 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 05.09.2018 0 29.6N 87.9W 996 54 1200UTC 05.09.2018 12 31.7N 89.7W 1006 21 0000UTC 06.09.2018 24 33.0N 91.1W 1007 22 1200UTC 06.09.2018 36 33.3N 92.3W 1010 15 0000UTC 07.09.2018 48 33.4N 93.8W 1011 11 1200UTC 07.09.2018 60 33.9N 94.5W 1011 11 0000UTC 08.09.2018 72 34.5N 95.1W 1010 11 1200UTC 08.09.2018 84 35.6N 94.7W 1007 13 0000UTC 09.09.2018 96 36.8N 93.3W 1005 14 1200UTC 09.09.2018 108 38.5N 91.1W 1003 19 0000UTC 10.09.2018 120 40.0N 86.8W 1004 26 1200UTC 10.09.2018 132 42.3N 83.2W 1005 34 0000UTC 11.09.2018 144 43.6N 80.1W 1007 32 HURRICANE NORMAN ANALYSED POSITION : 19.5N 145.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP162018 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 05.09.2018 0 19.5N 145.1W 980 57 1200UTC 05.09.2018 12 19.5N 147.0W 980 60 0000UTC 06.09.2018 24 20.0N 148.4W 978 61 1200UTC 06.09.2018 36 20.5N 149.8W 982 55 0000UTC 07.09.2018 48 21.4N 150.8W 987 53 1200UTC 07.09.2018 60 22.2N 151.9W 994 45 0000UTC 08.09.2018 72 23.0N 153.5W 1000 38 1200UTC 08.09.2018 84 24.0N 155.2W 1005 36 0000UTC 09.09.2018 96 25.3N 156.4W 1006 34 1200UTC 09.09.2018 108 25.9N 157.5W 1008 31 0000UTC 10.09.2018 120 26.6N 158.2W 1008 28 1200UTC 10.09.2018 132 27.2N 159.2W 1010 26 0000UTC 11.09.2018 144 28.4N 160.1W 1012 24 HURRICANE OLIVIA ANALYSED POSITION : 16.5N 119.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP172018 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 05.09.2018 0 16.5N 119.7W 954 74 1200UTC 05.09.2018 12 16.9N 121.7W 953 76 0000UTC 06.09.2018 24 17.6N 124.2W 956 74 1200UTC 06.09.2018 36 18.3N 127.0W 956 72 0000UTC 07.09.2018 48 19.2N 130.0W 968 69 1200UTC 07.09.2018 60 20.4N 132.9W 975 60 0000UTC 08.09.2018 72 21.7N 135.8W 983 58 1200UTC 08.09.2018 84 22.5N 138.5W 990 52 0000UTC 09.09.2018 96 23.0N 140.9W 993 48 1200UTC 09.09.2018 108 23.2N 143.2W 995 43 0000UTC 10.09.2018 120 23.7N 145.1W 995 46 1200UTC 10.09.2018 132 24.2N 146.5W 994 47 0000UTC 11.09.2018 144 24.2N 148.1W 1000 40 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 54 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 12.5N 34.1W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 07.09.2018 60 12.8N 34.3W 1004 28 0000UTC 08.09.2018 72 13.4N 34.4W 1002 35 1200UTC 08.09.2018 84 14.4N 34.4W 1000 33 0000UTC 09.09.2018 96 15.6N 34.9W 999 35 1200UTC 09.09.2018 108 16.3N 36.8W 995 46 0000UTC 10.09.2018 120 16.8N 38.5W 993 46 1200UTC 10.09.2018 132 17.3N 40.3W 995 46 0000UTC 11.09.2018 144 18.4N 41.9W 995 46 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 17.1N 118.9W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 11.09.2018 144 17.5N 118.8W 1003 28 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 050404