WTPN33 PHNC 312200

MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//

SUBJ/HURRICANE 16E (NORMAN) WARNING NR 015//

RMKS/

1. HURRICANE 16E (NORMAN) WARNING NR 015

   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

    ---

   WARNING POSITION:

   311800Z --- NEAR 16.6N 121.1W

     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 07 KTS

     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM

     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE

   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   REPEAT POSIT: 16.6N 121.1W

    ---

   FORECASTS:

   12 HRS, VALID AT:

   010600Z --- 16.2N 122.6W

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS

    ---

   24 HRS, VALID AT:

   011800Z --- 16.2N 124.4W

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS

    ---

   36 HRS, VALID AT:

   020600Z --- 16.6N 127.0W

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS

    ---

   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:

   48 HRS, VALID AT:

   021800Z --- 17.3N 129.9W

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 15 KTS

    ---

   72 HRS, VALID AT:

   031800Z --- 18.9N 136.0W

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS

    ---

   LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:

    ---

   96 HRS, VALID AT:

   041800Z --- 20.0N 141.1W

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS

    ---

   120 HRS, VALID AT:

   051800Z --- 20.9N 144.7W

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

    ---

REMARKS:

312200Z POSITION NEAR 16.5N 121.6W.

HURRICANE 16E (NORMAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 990 NM SOUTH-

SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07

KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.

MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 311800Z IS 27 FEET. NEXT

WARNINGS AT 010400Z, 011000Z, 011600Z AND 012200Z.

//

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