WTNT82 EGRR 111605



  MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC



             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 11.08.2018



             HURRICANE HECTOR     ANALYSED POSITION : 18.7N 169.9W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP102018



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 11.08.2018    0  18.7N 169.9W      987            57

    0000UTC 12.08.2018   12  20.0N 171.6W      992            51

    1200UTC 12.08.2018   24  21.5N 173.9W      998            43

    0000UTC 13.08.2018   36  23.0N 176.5W     1003            35

    1200UTC 13.08.2018   48  24.5N 179.5W     1006            34

    0000UTC 14.08.2018   60  25.6N 177.4E     1009            33

    1200UTC 14.08.2018   72  26.9N 173.9E     1010            36

    0000UTC 15.08.2018   84  28.3N 170.2E     1004            49

    1200UTC 15.08.2018   96  29.8N 166.9E     1003            44

    0000UTC 16.08.2018  108  31.4N 164.3E     1007            34

    1200UTC 16.08.2018  120  33.2N 162.7E     1010            28

    0000UTC 17.08.2018  132  35.2N 161.8E     1011            25

    1200UTC 17.08.2018  144  37.6N 161.7E     1012            25



   TROPICAL DEPRESSION KRISTY     ANALYSED POSITION : 21.0N 131.0W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP132018



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 11.08.2018    0  21.0N 131.0W     1001            35

    0000UTC 12.08.2018   12  21.2N 131.5W     1005            29

    1200UTC 12.08.2018   24  21.4N 131.9W     1007            26

    0000UTC 13.08.2018   36  21.7N 132.7W     1008            23

    1200UTC 13.08.2018   48  21.8N 134.3W     1010            23

    0000UTC 14.08.2018   60  21.8N 135.7W     1011            21

    1200UTC 14.08.2018   72              CEASED TRACKING



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 38.9N  50.1W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 16.08.2018  108  38.9N  50.1W     1010            30

    1200UTC 16.08.2018  120  39.6N  47.8W     1011            33

    0000UTC 17.08.2018  132  40.6N  44.3W     1012            34

    1200UTC 17.08.2018  144  41.6N  40.4W     1011            35



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 13.6N 120.7W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 16.08.2018  120  13.6N 120.7W     1004            35

    0000UTC 17.08.2018  132  13.9N 122.6W     1003            36

    1200UTC 17.08.2018  144  15.0N 124.2W     1003            36





 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE

 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS

 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.



 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK



 TOO 111605