WTNT80 EGRR 111605



 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC



 AND ATLANTIC



             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 11.08.2018



             HURRICANE HECTOR     ANALYSED POSITION : 18.7N 169.9W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP102018



  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY

  --------------     --------     --------        --------

 12UTC 11.08.2018  18.7N 169.9W   MODERATE

 00UTC 12.08.2018  20.0N 171.6W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

 12UTC 12.08.2018  21.5N 173.9W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

 00UTC 13.08.2018  23.0N 176.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

 12UTC 13.08.2018  24.5N 179.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

 00UTC 14.08.2018  25.6N 177.4E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

 12UTC 14.08.2018  26.9N 173.9E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

 00UTC 15.08.2018  28.3N 170.2E     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

 12UTC 15.08.2018  29.8N 166.9E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

 00UTC 16.08.2018  31.4N 164.3E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

 12UTC 16.08.2018  33.2N 162.7E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

 00UTC 17.08.2018  35.2N 161.8E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

 12UTC 17.08.2018  37.6N 161.7E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE



   TROPICAL DEPRESSION KRISTY     ANALYSED POSITION : 21.0N 131.0W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP132018



  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY

  --------------     --------     --------        --------

 12UTC 11.08.2018  21.0N 131.0W     WEAK

 00UTC 12.08.2018  21.2N 131.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

 12UTC 12.08.2018  21.4N 131.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

 00UTC 13.08.2018  21.7N 132.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

 12UTC 13.08.2018  21.8N 134.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

 00UTC 14.08.2018  21.8N 135.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

 12UTC 14.08.2018        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH



             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS

                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 38.9N  50.1W



  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY

  --------------     --------     --------        --------

 00UTC 16.08.2018  38.9N  50.1W     WEAK

 12UTC 16.08.2018  39.6N  47.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

 00UTC 17.08.2018  40.6N  44.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

 12UTC 17.08.2018  41.6N  40.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE



             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS

                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 13.6N 120.7W



  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY

  --------------     --------     --------        --------

 12UTC 16.08.2018  13.6N 120.7W     WEAK

 00UTC 17.08.2018  13.9N 122.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

 12UTC 17.08.2018  15.0N 124.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE





 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE

 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS

 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.



 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE

 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.

 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK



 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK



 TOO 111605