WTNT82 EGRR 041608 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 04.08.2018 HURRICANE HECTOR ANALYSED POSITION : 14.1N 132.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP102018 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 04.08.2018 0 14.1N 132.1W 956 74 0000UTC 05.08.2018 12 14.2N 133.9W 957 78 1200UTC 05.08.2018 24 14.5N 136.1W 959 75 0000UTC 06.08.2018 36 15.0N 138.5W 958 72 1200UTC 06.08.2018 48 15.5N 141.6W 963 69 0000UTC 07.08.2018 60 16.1N 144.9W 967 66 1200UTC 07.08.2018 72 16.4N 148.1W 973 64 0000UTC 08.08.2018 84 16.6N 151.2W 975 60 1200UTC 08.08.2018 96 16.7N 154.1W 975 61 0000UTC 09.08.2018 108 17.0N 156.9W 970 66 1200UTC 09.08.2018 120 17.5N 159.8W 976 67 0000UTC 10.08.2018 132 17.8N 162.9W 980 60 1200UTC 10.08.2018 144 17.7N 165.7W 983 54 TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 36.6N 45.2W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 04.08.2018 0 36.6N 45.2W 1010 29 0000UTC 05.08.2018 12 35.0N 47.4W 1011 28 1200UTC 05.08.2018 24 33.5N 49.2W 1010 26 0000UTC 06.08.2018 36 31.6N 49.9W 1010 24 1200UTC 06.08.2018 48 32.0N 49.5W 1011 29 0000UTC 07.08.2018 60 33.9N 48.0W 1011 28 1200UTC 07.08.2018 72 37.5N 47.5W 1008 33 0000UTC 08.08.2018 84 40.3N 48.5W 1007 28 1200UTC 08.08.2018 96 41.1N 49.6W 1006 25 0000UTC 09.08.2018 108 40.4N 49.5W 1007 30 1200UTC 09.08.2018 120 39.9N 47.8W 1003 41 0000UTC 10.08.2018 132 40.6N 45.7W 1002 36 1200UTC 10.08.2018 144 41.0N 42.9W 1001 38 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 18 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 18 : 13.0N 96.8W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 05.08.2018 24 13.1N 98.1W 1004 31 0000UTC 06.08.2018 36 13.8N 99.8W 999 37 1200UTC 06.08.2018 48 14.5N 101.7W 991 52 0000UTC 07.08.2018 60 15.3N 103.6W 983 67 1200UTC 07.08.2018 72 16.4N 105.5W 978 71 0000UTC 08.08.2018 84 18.1N 107.4W 981 71 1200UTC 08.08.2018 96 20.9N 110.4W 987 65 0000UTC 09.08.2018 108 22.8N 115.3W 997 70 1200UTC 09.08.2018 120 24.4N 119.3W 1000 40 0000UTC 10.08.2018 132 26.4N 122.8W 1007 29 1200UTC 10.08.2018 144 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 14.5N 106.9W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 05.08.2018 24 14.5N 106.9W 1003 31 0000UTC 06.08.2018 36 15.2N 108.8W 995 46 1200UTC 06.08.2018 48 15.9N 110.1W 985 59 0000UTC 07.08.2018 60 16.6N 111.6W 982 54 1200UTC 07.08.2018 72 16.9N 112.6W 976 58 0000UTC 08.08.2018 84 17.2N 113.4W 971 60 1200UTC 08.08.2018 96 17.2N 114.1W 970 64 0000UTC 09.08.2018 108 17.8N 114.4W 964 69 1200UTC 09.08.2018 120 18.9N 115.5W 963 67 0000UTC 10.08.2018 132 20.0N 117.4W 959 69 1200UTC 10.08.2018 144 20.8N 119.3W 959 69 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 78 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 14.1N 127.7W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 08.08.2018 84 14.2N 128.3W 1005 26 1200UTC 08.08.2018 96 14.4N 130.6W 1004 24 0000UTC 09.08.2018 108 14.7N 132.5W 1004 23 1200UTC 09.08.2018 120 15.2N 133.4W 1003 28 0000UTC 10.08.2018 132 16.4N 134.1W 1002 32 1200UTC 10.08.2018 144 17.2N 135.0W 1003 32 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 041608