WTXS51 PGTW 291500 WARNING ATCG MIL 21S SIO 180429141835 2018042912 21S FLAMBOYAN 006 01 245 16 SATL 025 T000 128S 0863E 060 R050 045 NE QD 065 SE QD 050 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 125 SE QD 100 SW QD 055 NW QD T012 139S 0847E 070 R064 000 NE QD 040 SE QD 025 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 025 NE QD 075 SE QD 050 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 125 NE QD 155 SE QD 135 SW QD 065 NW QD T024 150S 0838E 065 R064 010 NE QD 045 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 035 NE QD 070 SE QD 055 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 125 NE QD 180 SE QD 140 SW QD 070 NW QD T036 163S 0834E 055 R050 030 NE QD 060 SE QD 045 SW QD 015 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 205 SE QD 135 SW QD 070 NW QD T048 177S 0833E 045 R034 130 NE QD 205 SE QD 130 SW QD 075 NW QD T072 205S 0837E 035 R034 150 NE QD 240 SE QD 095 SW QD 075 NW QD T096 240S 0855E 025 AMP 072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (FLAMBOYAN) WARNING NR 006 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (FLAMBOYAN) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 291200Z --- NEAR 12.8S 86.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.8S 86.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z --- 13.9S 84.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z --- 15.0S 83.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 16.3S 83.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 205 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 17.7S 83.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 205 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z --- 20.5S 83.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 10 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z --- 24.0S 85.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 291500Z POSITION NEAR 13.1S 85.9E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (FLAMBOYAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 884 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z IS 23 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 292100Z, 300300Z, 300900Z AND 301500Z. // 2118042618 69S 988E 15 2118042700 71S 982E 15 2118042706 73S 976E 20 2118042712 74S 970E 25 2118042718 76S 958E 25 2118042800 82S 942E 30 2118042806 89S 925E 35 2118042812 95S 910E 40 2118042818 102S 901E 45 2118042900 111S 890E 50 2118042906 121S 878E 55 2118042906 121S 878E 55 2118042912 128S 863E 60 2118042912 128S 863E 60