WTXS52 PGTW 170300 WARNING ATCG MIL 15S SIO 180317023214 2018031700 15S MARCUS 006 02 215 09 SATL RADR 025 T000 124S 1311E 045 R034 015 NE QD 040 SE QD 045 SW QD 015 NW QD T012 133S 1299E 050 R050 000 NE QD 000 SE QD 025 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 035 SE QD 060 SW QD 085 NW QD T024 139S 1284E 055 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 055 NE QD 050 SE QD 055 SW QD 080 NW QD T036 145S 1265E 060 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 045 NE QD 065 SE QD 065 SW QD 070 NW QD T048 149S 1244E 055 R050 030 NE QD 035 SE QD 040 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 065 SE QD 085 SW QD 070 NW QD T072 151S 1196E 090 R064 025 NE QD 040 SE QD 035 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 065 SE QD 070 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 120 SE QD 120 SW QD 115 NW QD T096 151S 1135E 115 R064 045 NE QD 045 SE QD 040 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 145 SE QD 140 SW QD 130 NW QD T120 161S 1079E 125 R064 065 NE QD 075 SE QD 075 SW QD 060 NW QD R050 085 NE QD 100 SE QD 095 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 175 SE QD 175 SW QD 160 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (MARCUS) WARNING NR 006 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (MARCUS) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 170000Z --- NEAR 12.4S 131.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.4S 131.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z --- 13.3S 129.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z --- 13.9S 128.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z --- 14.5S 126.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z --- 14.9S 124.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z --- 15.1S 119.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z --- 15.1S 113.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z --- 16.1S 107.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 170300Z POSITION NEAR 12.6S 130.8E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (MARCUS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 13 NM EAST- NORTHEAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170900Z, 171500Z, 172100Z AND 180300Z. FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. // 1518031318 85S1287E 20 1518031400 88S1289E 20 1518031406 90S1292E 20 1518031412 90S1296E 20 1518031418 90S1300E 20 1518031500 90S1304E 25 1518031506 93S1313E 30 1518031512 96S1319E 30 1518031518 101S1323E 35 1518031600 105S1324E 40 1518031606 108S1322E 40 1518031612 112S1319E 40 1518031618 117S1316E 40 1518031700 124S1311E 45