WTXS52 PGTW 162100 WARNING ATCG MIL 15S SIO 180316204235 2018031618 15S MARCUS 005 02 210 06 SATL RADR 025 T000 117S 1316E 040 R034 055 NE QD 055 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD T012 125S 1306E 045 R034 055 NE QD 035 SE QD 045 SW QD 055 NW QD T024 133S 1294E 050 R050 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 020 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 055 NE QD 055 SE QD 050 SW QD 065 NW QD T036 138S 1278E 055 R050 030 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 065 SE QD 055 SW QD 075 NW QD T048 144S 1255E 050 R050 040 NE QD 045 SE QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 075 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 075 NW QD T072 148S 1208E 090 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 025 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 095 NE QD 120 SE QD 105 SW QD 075 NW QD T096 147S 1150E 110 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 045 NE QD 075 SE QD 065 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 150 SE QD 125 SW QD 115 NW QD T120 154S 1089E 120 R064 050 NE QD 055 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 095 SE QD 080 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 155 NE QD 170 SE QD 145 SW QD 130 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (MARCUS) WARNING NR 005 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (MARCUS) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 161800Z --- NEAR 11.7S 131.6E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 210 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 11.7S 131.6E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z --- 12.5S 130.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z --- 13.3S 129.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z --- 13.8S 127.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z --- 14.4S 125.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z --- 14.8S 120.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z --- 14.7S 115.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z --- 15.4S 108.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 162100Z POSITION NEAR 11.9S 131.3E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (MARCUS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 63 NM NORTHEAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161800Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170300Z, 170900Z, 171500Z AND 172100Z. FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. // 1518031318 85S1287E 20 1518031400 88S1289E 20 1518031406 90S1292E 20 1518031412 90S1296E 20 1518031418 90S1300E 20 1518031500 90S1304E 25 1518031506 93S1313E 30 1518031512 96S1319E 30 1518031518 101S1323E 35 1518031600 105S1324E 40 1518031606 108S1322E 40 1518031612 112S1319E 40 1518031618 117S1316E 40