WTXS52 PGTW 152100 WARNING ATCG MIL 15S SIO 180315195200 2018031518 15S FIFTEEN 001 02 155 04 SATL 030 T000 100S 1321E 035 R034 050 NE QD 070 SE QD 040 SW QD 075 NW QD T012 107S 1323E 045 R034 065 NE QD 080 SE QD 050 SW QD 070 NW QD T024 115S 1317E 050 R050 020 NE QD 035 SE QD 020 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 055 NE QD 065 SE QD 065 SW QD 075 NW QD T036 124S 1306E 045 R034 060 NE QD 055 SE QD 065 SW QD 070 NW QD T048 131S 1291E 050 R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 035 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 065 SE QD 065 SW QD 065 NW QD T072 144S 1245E 055 R050 030 NE QD 045 SE QD 040 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 045 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 075 NW QD T096 150S 1192E 065 R064 025 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 075 NE QD 125 SE QD 100 SW QD 075 NW QD T120 149S 1133E 080 R064 040 NE QD 045 SE QD 040 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 140 SE QD 105 SW QD 110 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (FIFTEEN) WARNING NR 001 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (FIFTEEN) WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 151800Z --- NEAR 10.0S 132.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 10.0S 132.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z --- 10.7S 132.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z --- 11.5S 131.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z --- 12.4S 130.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z --- 13.1S 129.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z --- 14.4S 124.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 13 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z --- 15.0S 119.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z --- 14.9S 113.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 152100Z POSITION NEAR 10.2S 132.1E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (FIFTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 166 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160300Z, 160900Z, 161500Z AND 162100Z. FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. // 1518031318 85S1287E 20 1518031400 88S1289E 20 1518031406 90S1292E 20 1518031412 90S1296E 20 1518031418 90S1300E 20 1518031500 90S1304E 25 1518031506 93S1313E 30 1518031512 96S1319E 30 1518031518 100S1321E 35